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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June.     The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers.     Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices.     The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics.     China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year.     "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun.     Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end.     A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said.     China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI.     If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February.     The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year     "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities.     "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation."     Macroeconomic growth     The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up.     Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark.     The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said.     More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.

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TAIYUAN, Oct. 2 (Xinhua) -- Vice Premier Zhang Dejiang underscored the scientific outlook on development and production safety during an inspection tour to northern Shanxi Province on Wednesday and Thursday.     Zhang visited the site of the Sept. 8 landslide in Xiangfen County on Thursday morning, where an unlicensed iron ore tailings pond burst and killed at least 262 people.     "The September 8 landslide was a very serious production safety incident, causing great losses, having a bad impact and leaving a deep lesson," he said.     The vice premier said a thorough investigation into the cause of the incident should be conducted and that those responsible for it should be punished seriously in accordance with law.     A lesson should be drawn from the incident and people should be put first, he stressed, adding that more efforts should be exerted to crack down on unlicensed production and corruption behind production safety incidents.     He also demanded local authorities have a scientific outlook on development.     Production safety should be strengthened through more investment, scientific and technological progress and better management, the vice premier said.

BEIJING, Sept. 11 -- Inflation eased to its lowest level in August since June last year, giving the government more policy leeway to prevent an economic slowdown.     The consumer price index (CPI), the main gauge of inflation, rose 4.9 percent year-on-year, compared to 6.3 percent in July, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said yesterday.     The CPI has been sliding since May, but still many economists were caught by surprise by last month's drop because they had forecast it to be above 5 percent. The month-on-month fall was only 0.1 percent.     But last month's producer price index (PPI), a gauge of factory gate inflation, rose a record 10.1 percent year-on-year, after jumping 10 percent in July.     Nevertheless, the low CPI figure gives the government "more policy room to sustain growth," Citigroup economist Ken Peng said.     He suggested the authorities consider further policy changes favoring growth, which could shift to full gear next month.     Economic growth has been slowing since the second quarter of last year, when the government adopted monetary and credit measures to rein in inflation and prevent the economy from overheating further.     Yet economists began warning of a recession since the beginning of this year, especially because the country's export sector, a key growth engine, started losing steam on weaker foreign demand.     The government responded it would strive to maintain a stable economic growth this year, leading to speculation that it would soon ease the tightening measures. But any step to stimulate the economy, such as lower interest rates or faster loan growth, risks spurring demand and stoking inflation again.     "Unless there's an abrupt slowdown, there's no need for a major change in the marco-control measures," said Lian Ping, an economist with the Bank of Communications. "The current 10 percent GDP growth is largely seen as acceptable."     The CPI rise is likely to stabilize around 5 percent during the rest of the year, he said, because food prices may continue to drop. Inflation fell last month mainly because of a drop in food prices, which make up one-third of the inflation basket. Food prices slid 0.4 percent from July.     A falling inflation rate gives the government a good chance to lift its price control on products such as fuel, water, and electricity further, Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said.     In the past year, policymakers have managed to freeze the prices of public utilities, and fuel and power tariff. They introduced temporary price curbs on some other goods, too, to rein in inflation.     Yet soaring labor and raw material costs, reflected in the rising PPI figure, have eaten into the profit of local enterprises because price control and fierce competition prevented them from passing the inflationary pressure on to consumers.     Such price liberalization could make the CPI rise again in the next few months, Sun said.     "But if implemented in a gradual and orderly way, inflation should remain below 6 percent year-on-year during the rest of the year."

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BEIJING, June 10 (Xinhua) -- The quake relief headquarters of the State Council (cabinet) Tuesday sent a congratulatory telegram to the Tangjiashan lake emergency rescue headquarters for the successful drainage of the quake lake.     "After more than 10 consecutive days of hard work, you successfully drained the Tangjiashan quake lake and eliminated a huge threat of secondary disaster after the May 12 quake," the telegram said. The drainage water of Tangjiashan quake-formed lake passes Mianyang City, southwest China's Sichuan Province, June 10, 2008. The crest of the flood from Tangjiashan quake-formed lake passed safely by downstream Mianyang City on Tuesday afternoon. (Xinhua Photo)Photo Gallery>>>    "Your work has ensured the people's security, avoided a huge loss and created a miracle in dealing with large quake-formed lakes," it said.     "The State Council quake relief headquarters would like to express heart-felt gratitude and respect to the troops, geologists and quake and weather technicians working at the front line and those who helped evacuate people in low-lying areas," it said.     The headquarters urged people to continue the work until they were done with follow-up activity in terms of drainage and evacuations.     The Tangjiashan lake was formed after quake-triggered landslides from Tangjiashan Mountain blocked the Tongkou River running through Beichuan County, one of the worst-hit areas in the quake that struck southwestern Sichuan Province.     Had the lake overflowed, it could have threatened some 1 million people on the lower reaches of the lake.     A man-made spillway started to drain the lake on Saturday morning and military engineers used recoil-less guns, bazookas and dynamite on Sunday and Monday to blast boulders and other obstructions in the channel and speed up the outflow.     The lake shrank dramatically on Tuesday as muddy water flowed into the low-lying areas.     About half of the lake's 250 million cubic meters of water has been discharged since the drainage started.     More than 250,000 people in low-lying areas of Mianyang were relocated under a plan based on the assumption that one-third of the lake volume breached the dam.

BEIJING, May 22 -- The State Council yesterday ordered government departments to cut spending by 5 percent this year to free up money for quake reconstruction.    The money will help to finance a 70 billion yuan (10 billion U.S. dollars) fund for rebuilding after the May 12 quake, which killed tens of thousands, the Cabinet said on its website. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao speaks on the quake relief work during a meeting of the State Council, in Beijing, capital of China, May 21, 2008.The death toll from the quake rose to 41,353 by noon yesterday, and 274,683 were injured, according to the Information Office of the State Council. The number of missing has been put at 32,666.     The overall impact of the quake on China's fast-growing economy is expected to be limited. Sichuan is a major source of coal, natural gas and some farm goods but has little industry.     The quake destroyed thousands of buildings, knocked out power and phone services and damaged factories, mines and other facilities. State-owned and private companies suffered 67 billion yuan (9.5 billion U.S. dollars) in quake losses, according to the government's preliminary estimates.     Yesterday's Cabinet statement gave no details of how much money the spending cuts were expected to raise. But the reported budget for the central government this year, including the military, is 1.3 trillion yuan (187 billion U.S. dollars) - and 5 percent of that would be 65 billion yuan (9.3 billion U.S. dollars).     Beijing will set a moratorium on new government building projects, Premier Wen Jiabao told a State Council meeting.     Wen said the quake "added uncertainties" to the economy but he said it was stable and its fundamentals were not affected, Xinhua reported.     Donations to quake-hit regions reached 16 billion yuan (2.29 billion U.S. dollars), of which 1.76 billion yuan (250 million U.S. dollars) has been forwarded to affected areas, according to the information office.     In addition, the Ministry of Finance announced yesterday that it has allocated another 660 million yuan (94.83 million U.S. dollars) in relief funds to quake-stricken areas.     As the summer draws near, the quake-hit regions are facing mounting pressure to prevent epidemics.     About 45,000 medical workers are working in all quake-hit counties and townships in Sichuan, according to the Ministry of Health.     About 1,196 tons of disinfectants and bactericides were distributed, the ministry said in a statement.     In seven out of the 11 worst-hit counties, sanitation work has been completed and in the other four, one-third of the townships have been covered.     According to local health departments, doctors found 58 cases of gas gangrene, a bacterial infection that produces gas within gangrenous tissues, as of Sunday.     But officials said the virus does not affect people without open wounds.     Meanwhile, rescuers are still fighting time to find survivors.     According to the Department of General Staff of the People's Liberation Army, rescuers saved and evacuated 396,811 people to safe places as of yesterday noon.     A total of 6,452 have been dug out alive from the rubble, with 77 rescued in the 36 hours to noon yesterday.     The Ministry of Health said that 3,424 people injured in the quake had died in hospitals.     Hospitals have taken in 59,394 injured people since the quake, of whom 30,289 were discharged, the ministry said.     Power has been restored in most parts of quake-hit areas but Beichuan County, one of the worst hit, remained blacked out and electricity in Hongyuan was cut off again due to aftershocks, the State Electricity Regulatory Commission said in a statement.     Experts yesterday said there was no need to worry that the 33 lakes in Sichuan - formed after landslides blocked rivers - would burst their banks.     "Generally speaking, those lakes are safe because the flood season is yet to come," said Liu Ning, general engineer of the Ministry of Water Resources.     "We are monitoring the lakes round the clock," he added.

BEIJING, Sept. 11 -- Inflation eased to its lowest level in August since June last year, giving the government more policy leeway to prevent an economic slowdown.     The consumer price index (CPI), the main gauge of inflation, rose 4.9 percent year-on-year, compared to 6.3 percent in July, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said yesterday.     The CPI has been sliding since May, but still many economists were caught by surprise by last month's drop because they had forecast it to be above 5 percent. The month-on-month fall was only 0.1 percent.     But last month's producer price index (PPI), a gauge of factory gate inflation, rose a record 10.1 percent year-on-year, after jumping 10 percent in July.     Nevertheless, the low CPI figure gives the government "more policy room to sustain growth," Citigroup economist Ken Peng said.     He suggested the authorities consider further policy changes favoring growth, which could shift to full gear next month.     Economic growth has been slowing since the second quarter of last year, when the government adopted monetary and credit measures to rein in inflation and prevent the economy from overheating further.     Yet economists began warning of a recession since the beginning of this year, especially because the country's export sector, a key growth engine, started losing steam on weaker foreign demand.     The government responded it would strive to maintain a stable economic growth this year, leading to speculation that it would soon ease the tightening measures. But any step to stimulate the economy, such as lower interest rates or faster loan growth, risks spurring demand and stoking inflation again.     "Unless there's an abrupt slowdown, there's no need for a major change in the marco-control measures," said Lian Ping, an economist with the Bank of Communications. "The current 10 percent GDP growth is largely seen as acceptable."     The CPI rise is likely to stabilize around 5 percent during the rest of the year, he said, because food prices may continue to drop. Inflation fell last month mainly because of a drop in food prices, which make up one-third of the inflation basket. Food prices slid 0.4 percent from July.     A falling inflation rate gives the government a good chance to lift its price control on products such as fuel, water, and electricity further, Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said.     In the past year, policymakers have managed to freeze the prices of public utilities, and fuel and power tariff. They introduced temporary price curbs on some other goods, too, to rein in inflation.     Yet soaring labor and raw material costs, reflected in the rising PPI figure, have eaten into the profit of local enterprises because price control and fierce competition prevented them from passing the inflationary pressure on to consumers.     Such price liberalization could make the CPI rise again in the next few months, Sun said.     "But if implemented in a gradual and orderly way, inflation should remain below 6 percent year-on-year during the rest of the year."

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BEIJING, Oct. 14 (Xinhua) -- The financial crisis and other major issues challenging the world will be discussed in the upcoming summit of the Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM), according to Liu Jieyi, China's assistant foreign minister.     "The ASEM summit would be convened under the special international circumstance," said Liu at a press conference here on Tuesday.     He added the financial situation was in turbulence and the three major challenges, including food safety, climate change and energy issues, were interwoven.     Under the theme of dialogue, cooperation, mutual benefit and common prosperity, the summit would touch upon these issues.     The seventh ASEM summit will be held in Beijing from Oct. 24 to25. At present, most foreign members had confirmed their attendance.     Liu said all members would focus on disaster-relief cooperation, the promotion of trade and investment, sustainable development and strengthening dialogue.     Chinese President Hu Jintao will attend the meeting and Premier Wen Jiabao will preside over the meetings and a welcoming banquet.     Leaders from four coordinators, including China, the EU commission, Brunei and France, would hold a joint press conference after the summit, Liu said, adding several bilateral meetings would also be held.     "A chairman's statement is expected to be passed to reflect all members' stance on the major issues, outlining the key areas of cooperation in the future."     Other documents will also be passed to improve the substantial cooperation on three major areas, including political, economic cooperation as well as social and cultural exchange.     "This is another important event for China after the Beijing Olympic Games," Liu said.     The 45-member ASEM, established in 1996, is a high-level forum between governments of Asia and Europe. It aims at creating better conditions for cooperation between the two continents through strengthening dialogue and mutual u

YINCHUAN, Aug. 17 (Xinhua) -- Premier Wen Jiabao encouraged local workers and farmers to work harder to boost industrial and agricultural development of the landlocked Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region in northwest China.     During a recent inspection tour to this largest Muslim region of the country, the premier visited major industrial projects and enterprises, commodity grain, vegetable production and other farming bases. Wen Jiabao (C) talks with Muslim children in the house of Huang Shengxiu, a villager of Wanya village, Xiji county, northwest China's Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Aug. 16, 2008Wen told workers during his visit to a methanol and alkene production project Friday to work hard to build up an industrial base that meets the standards of scientific development.     He urged workers to promote renovation and strengthen management to achieve the goal of top quality and technological standard based on resources conservation.     During his visit to a grain production base in northern Ningxia, Wen praised a cooperation mechanism among local farmers that helped them to increase grain output and their income. Wen Jiabao (front 3rd L) applauses as he talks with representatives from religious circles and local muslims at the Najiahu Mosque in Yinchuan, capital of northwest China's Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Aug. 17, 2008. In Xihaigu, one of the most poverty-stricken regions in China, Wen urged local people to continue the forestation campaign and improve the ecological environment for sustainable development.     On Sunday, Wen visited Wanya Village, home to 70 Muslim households. He promised that the government will work along with the villagers to fight chronic drought and increase drinking water supply.     He also congratulated villagers on the village's first student to be enrolled by a university in northeast Jilin Province, expressing the hope that more youths will get the opportunity of higher education.     The premier also visited an age-old mosque in the regional capital Yinchuan on Sunday, and talked with representatives from religious circles and local people.

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BEIJING, April 25 -- The key mainland stock index yesterday soared 9.29 percent, the biggest one-day jump in six years, as investor sentiment was boosted by the government lowering of stamp duty.     The slashing of trading tax from 0.3 percent to 0.1 percent, effective yesterday, was widely seen as another government effort to lift the stock market from the doldrums it has been in for six months.     It followed the introduction of trading rules last Sunday to mitigate the impact of an expected flood of previously non-tradable shares after the lock-in period, which could greatly depress the market. Investors look over information at a stock exchange at a stock trading hall in Beijing, April 24, 2008. Equities trading tax cut, which is widely believed as policy boost by government to stem the recent slump, sends Chinese shares 9.29 percent higher on Thursday, the biggest gain since Oct 23, 2001    The Shanghai Composite Index yesterday surged 304.7 points to close at 3583.03.     In yesterday's trading, gainers outnumbered losers by 853 to 1. The Shenzhen Component index jumped 9.59 percent, or 1130.61 points to close at 12914.76. Total market capitalization swelled 9.2 percent to 22.94 trillion yuan (.3 trillion).     Turnover on the two bourses more than doubled from the day before to 261 billion yuan ( billion), the highest this year.     Analysts said the reduction in the stamp duty and restrictions on the sale of unlocked shares showed that the market has fallen as low as the government would like to see.     "The timing of the stamp duty cut suggests that the 3000 point may be a psychological bottom line for policymakers," said Peng Cheng, an economist at Citi China.     "The government had been patient in waiting until the market correction was more than 50 percent before taking action," Peng added.     Xu Wei, an analyst at Sinolink Securities, estimated that the cut in stamp duty saves investors up to 102 billion yuan (.7 billion) a year.     In addition, "the relatively lower A-share valuation and the more stable performance of overseas stock markets have combined to help investors regain confidence," said Rui Kun, a fund manager at China international Fund Management Co Ltd.     Security companies, especially those focusing on brokerage services, will benefit from the increasingly active trading because of the stamp tax cut, analysts said.     Shanghai-based Haitong Securities, Sinolink Securities and Guoyuan Securities soared to the daily limit of 10 percent.     However, some market insiders said that weak fundamentals and unfavorable China economic growth data are likely to outweigh the positive impact of the government move, and the rebound may not last long.     "It is doubtful that such administrative measures can have a sustained effect on shares when earnings face significant challenges in the periods ahead," said Peng at Citi China.     "The cumulative effect of tightening policies and rising input costs, along with shrinking demand, could cut profits more deeply than what is currently evident," Peng added.

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